The Deterministic Thesis Is Defended By ____

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It seems to be explicitly ingrained into many scientific methods—for instance, standard statistical methods of data analysis (Section 1d).

It has also spread far beyond philosophy and the natural sciences.

Similarly, here are a group of earth scientists writing in Hence, while very many scientists assert that rival theories should be evaluated on grounds of simplicity, others are much more skeptical about this idea.

Much of this skepticism stems from the suspicion that the cogency of a simplicity criterion depends on assuming that nature is simple (hardly surprising given the way that many scientists have defended such a criterion) and that we have no good reason to make such an assumption.

More recently, the eminent physicist Steven Weinberg has claimed that he and his fellow physicists “demand simplicity and rigidity in our principles before we are willing to take them seriously” (Weinberg, 1993, p148-9), while the Nobel prize winning economist John Harsanyi has stated that “[o]ther things being equal, a simpler theory will be preferable to a less simple theory” (quoted in Mc Alleer, 2001, p296).

It should be noted, however, that not all scientists agree that simplicity be regarded as a legitimate criterion for theory choice.Finally, Section 4 surveys the wide variety of attempts that have been made to justify the practice of choosing between rival theories on grounds of simplicity.There are many ways in which simplicity might be regarded as a desirable feature of scientific theories.Several centuries later, at the beginning of the modern scientific revolution, Galileo espoused a similar view, holding that, “[n]ature does not multiply things unnecessarily; that she makes use of the easiest and simplest means for producing her effects” (Galilei, 1962, p396).Similarly, at beginning of the third book of the century, Albert Einstein asserted that “our experience hitherto justifies us in believing that nature is the realisation of the simplest conceivable mathematical ideas” (Einstein, 1954, p274).Indeed, some philosophers have argued that a systematic bias towards simpler theories and hypotheses is a fundamental component of inductive reasoning quite generally.However, though the legitimacy of choosing between rival scientific theories on grounds of simplicity is frequently taken for granted, or viewed as self-evident, this practice raises a number of very difficult philosophical problems.Section 2 highlights the wider significance of the philosophical issues surrounding simplicity for central controversies in the philosophy of science and epistemology.Section 3 outlines the challenges facing the project of trying to precisely define and measure theoretical simplicity, and it surveys the leading measures of simplicity and complexity currently on the market.A recent issue of the , for instance, contained the advice that “[u]nfortunately, many people perceive criminal acts as more complex than they really are…the least complicated explanation of an event is usually the correct one” (Rothwell, 2006, p24).


Comments The Deterministic Thesis Is Defended By ____

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